Tokyo Electron Limited Full-Year Earnings Flash

Revenue flat but net income up +5.6%; 1H guidance calling for +33.1% revenue growth signals accelerating momentum

PublishedApril 30, 2026 at 18:45 GMT+9

Key Positives From The Results

Backed by expanding generative-AI-related semiconductor capex, the company delivered revenue of JPY 2,443.5B. Net income hit a record-high JPY 574.4B (+5.6% YoY), boosted by extraordinary gains (JPY 115.4B gain on sale of investment securities). 1H guidance for the new fiscal year points to a clear growth recovery, with revenue of JPY 1,570.0B (+33.1% YoY) and operating income of JPY 431.0B (+42.2% YoY).

  • Domestic Revenue
    : JPY 239.4B (+26.0% YoY), reflecting a buoyant domestic semiconductor investment cycle
  • 1H OPM Recovery
    : 1H operating income guidance of JPY 431.0B implies a 27.5% OPM, up from 25.6% in the full year just reported
  • Dividend Increase
    : Annual DPS raised to JPY 628 (+JPY 36 YoY), maintaining a 50.1% payout ratio while enhancing shareholder returns
  • Strong Cash Generation
    : Operating cash flow of JPY 539.7B, virtually debt-free balance sheet maintained; equity ratio rose to 71.5% (+1.4pt YoY)
  • Share Cancellation
    : Board resolved to cancel 3.6M treasury shares (0.76% of shares outstanding), underscoring commitment to capital efficiency

Key Concerns From The Results

Core profitability deteriorated, with operating income of JPY 624.9B (−10.4% YoY) and OPM of 25.6% (−3.1pt YoY). Gross margin declined to 45.3% (−1.8pt YoY), compounded by higher SG&A, including R&D expenses of JPY 277.8B (+11.1% YoY). Signs of a capex pause in China are emerging, and with an overseas revenue mix of 90.2%, the business structure remains highly exposed to geopolitical risk.

  • Overseas Revenue
    : JPY 2,204.1B (−1.7% YoY), as the deceleration in China capex became more apparent
  • Gross Margin Pressure
    : GPM fell to 45.3% (−1.8pt YoY); product mix shifts and cost inflation warrant close monitoring
  • FX Losses
    : JPY 4.5B FX loss recognized (vs. JPY 0.9B in the prior year), highlighting downside risk if yen depreciation reverses
  • Rising R&D Burden
    : R&D expenses of JPY 277.8B (11.4% of revenue, +1.0pt YoY), reflecting heavier upfront investment
  • Limited Visibility
    : Only 1H guidance was provided, with no full-year outlook — reflecting elevated uncertainty around the second half

Focus Areas / Items To Monitor Going Forward

  • Order trends for AI and advanced logic applications that are expected to drive 1H revenue of JPY 1,570.0B (+33.1% YoY), along with the regional revenue mix. Whether the China market recovers will be a key swing factor for the full year
  • Degree of OPM recovery. Whether the improvement from 25.6% (full-year) to 27.5% (1H guidance) can be sustained through the full year — watch for gross margin inflection and SG&A ratio containment
  • Impact of US-China semiconductor regulations on Tokyo Electron's China-bound revenue. Scale of substitute demand if export controls tighten further
Discussion Points For Management
  • Comparative breakdown of China revenue for the prior and current fiscal years and the forward outlook
  • Specific uncertainty factors behind the decision to withhold full-year guidance until the 1H results disclosure
  • Primary drivers of the −1.8pt gross margin decline (regional mix, product mix, or cost structure)
  • Quantitative update on order backlog and order trends for generative-AI-related equipment
  • Priority areas for R&D investment and the expected payback timeline
  • Remedial measures for information management in light of the Taiwan subsidiary fine (TWD 150M)
  • Business scale, investment amount, and expected revenue contribution timeline for the new India facility
  • Revenue contribution and growth potential of new products such as Prexa SDP in the test segment
  • Competitive positioning and current market share for HBM and advanced packaging equipment
  • Future policy on share buybacks and the possibility of additional repurchases

Key Financial Highlights

ItemValueYoY
RevenueJPY 2,443,533M+0.5%
└ Domestic RevenueJPY 239,400M+26.0%
└ Overseas RevenueJPY 2,204,106M−1.7%
Cost of Goods SoldJPY 1,335,652M+3.9%
Gross ProfitJPY 1,107,880M−3.3%
Gross Profit Margin45.3%−1.8pt
SG&AJPY 482,944M+7.6%
└ R&D ExpensesJPY 277,866M+11.1%
Operating IncomeJPY 624,936M−10.4%
Operating Income Margin25.6%−3.1pt
Recurring ProfitJPY 630,338M−10.9%
Extraordinary GainsJPY 120,726M-
└ Gain on Sale of Investment SecuritiesJPY 115,494M-
Net Income Before TaxJPY 748,180M+6.0%
Net Income Attributable to Owners of Parent CompanyJPY 574,454M+5.6%
EPSJPY 1,254.57+6.1%
BPSJPY 4,498.85+12.0%
ROE29.6%−0.7pt
Recurring Profit / Total Assets23.0%−4.8pt
Comprehensive IncomeJPY 624,335M+31.1%

Operating income declined JPY 72,383M YoY, driven primarily by lower gross margin (−1.8pt) and higher SG&A (+JPY 33,977M). Net income nonetheless rose, supported by a JPY 115,494M gain on sale of investment securities.

Performance By Business Segment

SegmentRevenueYoYOperating IncomeYoYMargin
Semiconductor Production Equipment (Consolidated)JPY 2,443,533M+0.5%JPY 624,936M−10.4%25.6%
Strong Performers
  • Domestic Market: Revenue of JPY 239.4B (+26.0% YoY). Driven by new fab construction and equipment upgrade demand at domestic semiconductor facilities
  • Generative-AI Semiconductor Capex: Expanding AI server demand for data centers underpinned overall market growth
Underperformers
  • Overseas Market: Revenue of JPY 2,204.1B (−1.7% YoY). Primarily dragged by the China capex slowdown
  • Field Solutions: Margin improvement likely fell short of expectations (GPM declined −1.8pt)

Progress Versus Full-Year Guidance

As this is a full-year report, progress-rate analysis does not apply. Actual results exceeded the full-year guidance published on February 6, 2026, and the annual DPS was revised upward from JPY 601 to JPY 628. Notably, the company changed its disclosure policy for the new fiscal year (FY2027/3), providing only 1H guidance with a full-year outlook to be disclosed at the time of the interim results.

ItemFull-Year ActualNew Fiscal Year 1H GuidanceNotes
RevenueJPY 2,443,533MJPY 1,570,000M1H YoY +33.1%
Operating IncomeJPY 624,936MJPY 431,000M+42.2% YoY
Recurring ProfitJPY 630,338MJPY 437,000M+42.4% YoY
Net IncomeJPY 574,454MJPY 328,000M+35.7% YoY
  • Semiconductor production equipment revenues are heavily dependent on customers' capex plans and exhibit significant quarterly volatility. In recent years, short-term supply-demand swings and semiconductor price fluctuations have intensified, increasing earnings volatility

Changes To Guidance

The dividend forecast for the fiscal year just ended was revised. Full-year results exceeded the guidance announced on February 6, 2026, prompting a DPS increase from JPY 601 to JPY 628 (interim: JPY 264; year-end: JPY 337 → JPY 364). For the new fiscal year, the company has shifted to providing guidance only for the first half; a full-year outlook will be disclosed at the time of the interim earnings announcement.

  • Annual DPS
    : Previous JPY 601 → New JPY 628 (+JPY 27)
  • Rationale
    : Full-year earnings exceeded guidance

Commentary On Shareholder Returns

The basic policy is a performance-linked dividend, targeting a payout ratio of approximately 50%. Annual DPS was raised to JPY 628 (vs. JPY 592 in the prior year, +JPY 36). A floor of JPY 50 per share per annum has been established for DPS. The company intends to consider opportunistic share buybacks. During the fiscal year, JPY 150,010M in treasury shares were repurchased, and a further 3.6M treasury shares (0.76% of shares outstanding) were cancelled on April 30, 2026.

Financial Position

The company maintained a virtually debt-free balance sheet, with the equity ratio rising to 71.5% (vs. 70.1% in the prior year), reflecting a solid financial foundation. Tangible fixed assets increased JPY 147,629M YoY to JPY 589,335M, as the company actively invested in capacity expansion.

  • Key Figures
  • Leverage Metrics
ItemValueAdditional Information
Cash and DepositsJPY 451,252M+8.4% YoY
Cash and Cash EquivalentsJPY 505,414M+4.2% YoY
Marketable Securities (Current)JPY 54,998M−31.3% YoY
Total Current AssetsJPY 1,835,466M+1.9% YoY
Tangible Fixed AssetsJPY 589,335M+33.4% YoY
└ Construction in ProgressJPY 101,476M−25.9% YoY
Investment SecuritiesJPY 225,453M+12.7% YoY
Total AssetsJPY 2,860,997M+9.0% YoY
Shareholders' EquityJPY 2,046,298M+11.2% YoY
Total LiabilitiesJPY 791,001M+2.6% YoY

News Released Alongside The Earnings Announcement

  • 2026/04/27
    A Taiwanese court ordered Taiwan subsidiary Tokyo Electron Taiwan Ltd. to pay a fine of TWD 150M in a case involving former employees' handling of confidential customer information. The company denies organizational involvement or external leakage of confidential information, and states no impact on financial results Regarding the Ruling Against Our Taiwan Subsidiary

Major Announcements During The Quarter

  • 2026/04/24
    Selected for METI's "Global South Future-Oriented Co-Creation Program." The company will establish a service and talent development base in India, building a semiconductor manufacturing talent ecosystem in collaboration with local companies and educational institutions Tokyo Electron Selected for METI's FY2024 Supplementary Budget "Global South Future-Oriented Co-Creation Program"
  • 2026/04/16
    Launched Prexa™ SDP, a new device prober supporting 2.5D/3D advanced packaging and KGD (Known Good Die) sorting for HPC/AI semiconductors, aiming to expand its test-segment business Announcement of Prexa™ SDP Device Prober Launch
  • 2026/02/06
    Announced Q3 FY2026/3 results and revised full-year guidance and dividend forecast FY2026/3 Q3 Earnings Release

Large-Shareholding Filings / Material Proposals Over The Past Year

  • BlackRock Japan and 13 others: 7.34% → 8.37% (Filing trigger date: 2026/02/27) — Pure investment (client asset management under discretionary investment and investment trust mandates)
  • Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management and others: 7.87% → 7.55% (Filing trigger date: 2025/09/15) — Management under investment trust and discretionary investment mandates (filing triggered by change in filer's corporate name)
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