ENVALITH

Tsuji Hongo IT Consulting Co., Ltd. Full-Year (4Q) Earnings Preview

Results will show how much ITOCHU synergy orders contributed in 4Q and where full-year operating income lands against the JPY 428M plan.

PublishedNovember 12, 2026 at 15:30 GMT+9

Summary

Revenue grew +16.6% YoY on a 9M cumulative basis. Operating income, however, fell -29.4%, weighed down by IPO-related expenses, human capital investment and costs of opening the Ichigaya office. The full-year plan has been unchanged since the start of the fiscal year. The key question is how much revenue and operating income the company built in 4Q alone. Net income should be assessed on a core basis, excluding the extraordinary gains the company has said it will book in 4Q. We will also examine the FY9/2027 plan, due alongside full-year results, for how it incorporates the CS Accounting acquisition and the shift in capital structure from new borrowing.

Key Points for Next Quarter

Key Points & FocusImplications

Full-Year Plan Outcome4Q standalone revenue and operating income vs. the full-year plan

Meeting the plan requires 4Q standalone revenue of JPY 1,108M and operating income of JPY 261M (our estimate). How management explains the gap with 3Q standalone figures of JPY 641M and JPY 53M will drive the market's assessment.

Revenue Growth4Q standalone growth in large and mid-sized enterprise orders and software sales

4Q standalone revenue in the prior year was JPY 576M (our estimate). We will gauge how much the ITOCHU synergy orders cited by the company contributed in 4Q.

ProfitabilityYoY trends in Gross Profit Margin and SG&A

9M cumulative Gross Profit Margin was 50.2%, down from 53.9% a year earlier (our estimate). We will assess how much of the Ichigaya office cost was absorbed over the full year.

Extraordinary Items & Net Income4Q extraordinary gains and their relationship to the net income plan

The company has announced total extraordinary gains of JPY 118M in 4Q. Against the JPY 302M net income plan, core earnings must be assessed separately from one-off gains.

M&A & Next-Year PlanFY9/2027 plan incorporating the CS Accounting acquisition, and capital structure

The approximate acquisition price of JPY 4.009B is about 2.3x 3Q-end net assets of JPY 1,710M (our estimate). Key issues are how the next-year plan treats the consolidation start date, goodwill and the JPY 2B borrowing.

Key Issues from Previous Results (FY9/2026 3Q Results)

9M cumulative revenue was JPY 1,805M (+16.6%) and operating income JPY 167M (-29.4%). Growth investment drove a profit decline despite higher revenue. The company's stated policy is to "prioritize revenue and operating income while remaining mindful of profitability." It frames the profit decline as foundation-building for future growth. Full-year results will center on 4Q progress against the unchanged full-year plan and the growth trajectory set out in the next-year plan.

1. 4Q Standalone Build Against the Full-Year Plan

  • Prior Period
    : 9M cumulative achievement rates were 62.0% for revenue, 39.0% for operating income and 39.7% for recurring profit (our estimate).
  • This Period Check
    : The plan is unchanged from the figures announced on December 19, 2025, and the gap with 3Q standalone results is wide. We will look at how management explains any shortfall between 4Q results and the plan.
  • Key Metrics
    : Meeting the plan requires 4Q standalone revenue of JPY 1,108M, operating income of JPY 261M and recurring profit of JPY 258M (our estimate).

2. Revenue Growth from ITOCHU Synergies and Software Sales

  • Prior Period
    : Quarterly standalone revenue rose steadily: JPY 562M in 1Q, JPY 602M in 2Q and JPY 641M in 3Q (our estimate).
  • This Period Check
    : We will check whether orders from large and mid-sized enterprises and software unit sales, which the company cites as revenue drivers, held up in 4Q.
  • Key Metrics
    : Comparison with prior-year 4Q standalone revenue of JPY 576M, and the achievement rate against the full-year revenue plan of +37.2% YoY.

3. Margins After Absorbing Upfront Investment

  • Prior Period
    : 9M cumulative SG&A was JPY 738M (+23.6%) and Cost of Goods Sold rose +26.0%. Both outpaced revenue growth of +16.6% (our estimate).
  • This Period Check
    : IPO-related expenses were one-offs incurred in 1H and will not recur in 4Q. The focus is whether revenue growth absorbed the costs of the Ichigaya office, opened in April 2026, and higher personnel expenses.
  • Key Metrics
    : Quarterly standalone Operating Income Margin was 7.1% in 1Q, 12.3% in 2Q and 8.3% in 3Q (our estimate). The benchmark is prior-year 4Q standalone operating income of JPY 84M.

4. Extraordinary Gains and How to Read Net Income

  • Prior Period
    : 9M cumulative extraordinary items consisted solely of a JPY 0M loss on disposal of fixed assets. Net income was JPY 112M, a 37.1% achievement rate against the JPY 302M plan (our estimate).
  • This Period Check
    : The company has announced 4Q extraordinary gains comprising a JPY 34M reversal of provisions and a JPY 84M gain on business transfer. We will check the remaining JPY 71M provision for losses related to unauthorized access and whether any additional losses have arisen.
  • Key Metrics
    : Breakdown of extraordinary gains and income taxes, and the gap between the achievement rates for recurring profit and net income.

5. CS Accounting Acquisition and the FY9/2027 Plan

  • Prior Period
    : At 3Q-end, cash and deposits stood at JPY 1,474M, long-term borrowings (including current portion) at JPY 79M, and the Equity Ratio at 75.5%.
  • This Period Check
    : The P&L contribution begins from the share acquisition date and will be reflected in FY9/2027 results. In the full-year results, we will look at how the acquisition is built into the next-year plan and whether 4Q SG&A includes acquisition-related costs.
  • Key Metrics
    : The FY9/2027 revenue and operating income plans, assumptions for goodwill amortization, and management commentary on the post-borrowing capital structure.

Key Timely Disclosures During the Fiscal Year

  • 2026/09/30
    Notice Regarding Acquisition of Shares of CS Accounting (Conversion into a Subsidiary) - The company is acquiring all shares to strengthen its accounting and HR-related BPO capabilities, at an approximate price of JPY 4.009B. To fund part of the deal, it signed agreements on 10/19 to borrow a total of JPY 2B from Bank of Yokohama and Mizuho Bank (partially corrected on 10/21). The Bank of Yokohama facility carries financial covenants requiring maintenance of net assets and avoidance of recurring losses for two consecutive fiscal years. The P&L contribution starts in FY9/2027, making this the most important disclosure for next-year plan assumptions.
  • 2026/09/28
    Notice Regarding Transfer of the better Sozoku Business and the better Sozoku for Accounting Firms Business, and Recording of Extraordinary Gain - Both businesses are being transferred to MILIZE, allowing the company to concentrate resources on back-office DX support for corporate clients. A JPY 84M gain on business transfer is expected to be booked as an extraordinary gain in 4Q FY9/2026.
  • 2026/08/31
    Notice Regarding Recording of Extraordinary Gain - The server sales agent agreed to bear JPY 34M related to unauthorized use of a consolidated subsidiary's cloud servers. The same amount will be booked in 4Q as a reversal of provisions under extraordinary gains, partially reversing the loss recorded in the prior fiscal year.

Previous Quarter Results (FY9/2026 3Q Actual)

The company operates a single segment, the "DX Platform Business," offering specialized consulting, back-office operations support and software sales. It listed on the TSE Standard Market on December 19, 2025. Its public offering and third-party allotment each raised share capital and capital reserve by JPY 294M. 9M cumulative revenue grew on large and mid-sized enterprise orders driven by ITOCHU synergies, together with software sales. Profits declined, however, on IPO-related expenses, human capital investment and Ichigaya office opening costs.

ItemAmountYoYvs. Company PlanNotes
RevenueJPY 1,805M+16.6%62.0% AchievedHigher orders from large and mid-sized enterprises; increase in software unit sales
Operating IncomeJPY 167M-29.4%39.0% AchievedIPO-related expenses, human capital investment, Ichigaya office opening costs
Recurring ProfitJPY 170M-29.5%39.7% Achieved-
Quarterly Net Income Attributable to Owners of Parent CompanyJPY 112M-32.6%37.1% AchievedSole extraordinary loss was a JPY 0M loss on disposal of fixed assets
EPSJPY 58.20-40.8%36.4% AchievedAverage shares outstanding increased due to capital raise at IPO

*vs. Company Plan shows the achievement rate against the full-year plan (our estimate). EPS is compared with the company forecast of JPY 159.82.

Guidance Achievement Rate (Recurring Profit Basis): 39.7% (Prior Year: 74.4%) *Prior-year figure is the ratio of 9M cumulative recurring profit of JPY 241M to FY9/2025 full-year actual of JPY 324M (our estimate).

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