HEROZ, Inc. 3Q Earnings Flash

Operating income surged +126.4% YoY, signaling a sharp profitability turnaround; HEROZ ASK reaching JPY 150M in ARR and the full-scale rollout of the AI agent strategy are accelerating growth

March 13, 2026 at 18:05 GMT+9

Key Positives From The Results

Operating income of JPY 358M (+126.4% YoY) and EBITDA of JPY 719M (+46.1% YoY) underscore a marked improvement in profitability. The SG&A-to-revenue ratio declined from 41.5% to 37.9% (standalone 3Q basis), confirming the company's ability to maintain cost discipline while delivering top-line growth.

  • Operating Income JPY 358M (+126.4% YoY), EBITDA JPY 719M (+46.1% YoY):
    SG&A declined 5.4%, with cost containment directly contributing to earnings uplift
  • HEROZ ASK ARR Reached ~JPY 150M
    as of end-February, with revenue up +37.9% QoQ. Churn rate fell to 0.40%, confirming increasing stickiness of the SaaS product
  • AI Security Segment Income Of JPY 737M (+21.0% YoY):
    Pricing revision impact flowed through for the full period; churn rate held steady at 0.65%, consistently below 1%
  • Recurring Revenue Mix Rose To 70.2% (+4.7pt YoY), ARR JPY 4,569M (+11.3% YoY):
    Expanding annuity-based revenue foundation
  • JOINT iPaaS For SaaS License + Initial Revenue Up +53.3% QoQ:
    Accelerating traction as a SaaS integration platform

Key Concerns From The Results

Net loss attributable to owners of the parent company persisted at JPY -49M, making the path to full-year consolidated net profitability the biggest hurdle for achieving the full-year plan (JPY 50M). Structural profit leakage to non-controlling interests (Vario Secure, etc.) remains an unresolved issue.

  • Net Loss Attributable To Owners Of Parent Company Of JPY -49M Persists On A 3Q Cumulative Basis:
    Non-controlling interest profit of JPY 185M accounts for the majority of consolidated net income of JPY 136M, leaving limited profit attribution to the parent
  • AIX Segment Income Of JPY 467M (−5.3% YoY) Declined:
    Transitional cost inflation from front-loaded hiring and Tifana's pivot toward AI business weighed on profitability
  • COGS Ratio Rose To 55.5% (+1.6pt YoY, Standalone 3Q Basis):
    Continued increases in labor costs and depreciation warrant close monitoring relative to top-line growth trajectory
  • Non-Operating Expenses Of JPY 96M Pressured Recurring Profit:
    Includes JPY 26M in crypto asset valuation losses and JPY 11M in investment securities losses; mark-to-market risk is inherent with ~JPY 74M in crypto asset holdings
  • Full-Year Guidance Was Already Revised Downward In December
    (revenue JPY 6,700M → JPY 6,400M, operating income JPY 800M → JPY 500M). The magnitude of deviation from the original plan merits attention

Focus Areas / Items To Monitor Going Forward

  • Timing of HEROZ ASK reaching monthly breakeven and ARPA trends following the transition to the new unlimited-use pricing plan. Whether breakeven this fiscal year can serve as a profit growth driver next fiscal year
  • Whether BtoB revenue can achieve the targeted +15.6% full-year growth given the 4Q-heavy structure. Management states the pipeline exceeds prior year, but confirming the revenue scale required from 4Q alone is critical
  • Controlling tax adjustments and non-operating items in 4Q to achieve JPY 50M in net income attributable to owners of the parent (full-year plan). Scrutiny of how corporate tax adjustments could swing the bottom line
Discussion Points For Management
  • Specific churn rate and ARPA trends for HEROZ ASK following the new pricing plan transition
  • Expected timeline for resolution of AIX segment profit decline factors (Tifana transitional costs)
  • Criteria for continued crypto asset holding policy and risk management framework for valuation losses
  • Synergy creation schedule and quantitative revenue contribution outlook following investment in JPYC Inc.
  • Whether any measures are planned to mitigate the 4Q-heavy revenue structure in BtoB business
  • Commercialization timeline and revenue model for "Meta Agent (AI Agent 2.0)"
  • Strategic direction for Vario Secure following the conclusion of its medium-term management plan (FY02/2024–FY02/2026)
  • PMI progress across group companies (Tifana, AI Squared, Strategit, VOIQ) and profitability trends by entity
  • Policy on treatment of non-controlling interests to improve net income attributable to owners of the parent
  • Results of impairment testing on JPY 1.8B goodwill balance and outlook for future amortization burden

Key Financial Highlights

ItemValueYoY
RevenueJPY 4,687M+7.8%
Cost of Goods SoldJPY 2,610M+10.1%
Gross ProfitJPY 2,076M+5.2%
SG&AJPY 1,718M−5.4%
Operating IncomeJPY 358M+126.4%
Recurring ProfitJPY 265M+189.8%
Quarterly Net Loss Attributable to Owners of Parent CompanyJPY -49M— (vs. JPY -180M prior year)
EBITDAJPY 719M+46.1%
EPSJPY -3.25— (vs. JPY -11.96 prior year)
Comprehensive IncomeJPY 140M+310.4%
Total AssetsJPY 8,105M
Net AssetsJPY 5,379M
Equity Ratio56.3%+0.2pt (vs. 56.1% at prior FY-end)
ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue)JPY 4,569M+11.3%
Recurring Revenue Mix70.2%+4.7pt

Gross profit margin was 44.3% (−1.1pt YoY), a marginal decline. The primary driver was rising COGS (labor costs +11.0%, higher depreciation), though SG&A compression lifted OPM to 7.6% (vs. 3.6% prior year).

Performance By Business Segment

SegmentRevenueYoYSegment IncomeYoYMargin
AIX BusinessJPY 2,568M+9.8%JPY 467M−5.3%18.2%
AI Security BusinessJPY 2,118M+5.5%JPY 737M+21.0%34.8%
AdjustmentsJPY -846M
TotalJPY 4,687M+7.8%JPY 358M+126.4%7.6%
Strong Performers
  • AI Security Business: Revenue +5.5% YoY, segment income +21.0%. Full-year contribution from pricing revisions and a low churn rate of 0.65% drove margin expansion. Zero-trust security service "Vario Ultimate Zero" is gaining solid traction
  • AIX Business BtoB: Revenue grew +15.0% YoY on a 3Q cumulative basis. HEROZ ASK ARR reached ~JPY 150M (end-February), JOINT revenue surged +53.3% QoQ — new products are leading growth. Active project count rose +19.4% YoY
  • AIX Business BtoC: Grew +2.5% YoY on a standalone 3Q basis. Game counts exceeded 30M for four consecutive quarters, with cumulative games surpassing 1.1B. Launch of "Kishin Chat" is driving new user acquisition
Underperformers
  • AIX Business (Profitability): Segment income of JPY 467M (−5.3% YoY) declined. Front-loaded hiring investment and transitional costs from Tifana's AI business pivot were the primary factors. Standalone 3Q segment income of JPY 161M fell −30.7% from JPY 232M in the prior year

Progress Versus Full-Year Guidance

Against the revised full-year plan, revenue stands at 73.2%, operating income at 71.7%, and EBITDA at 72.0% — broadly tracking the plan. The company has a structurally 4Q-heavy revenue profile (concentration of large BtoB project acceptances in 4Q), and prior years have exhibited the same pattern, so the current progress rate is assessed as within achievable range. However, net income attributable to owners of the parent is JPY -49M on a 3Q cumulative basis, requiring a significant 4Q swing of +JPY 99M to meet the full-year target of JPY 50M.

ItemValue (3Q Cumulative)Full-Year ForecastProgress Rate
RevenueJPY 4,687MJPY 6,400M73.2%
Operating IncomeJPY 358MJPY 500M71.7%
Recurring ProfitJPY 265MJPY 420M63.2%
Net Income Attributable to Owners of Parent CompanyJPY -49MJPY 50M
EBITDAJPY 719MJPY 1,000M72.0%
  • The BtoB business continues to exhibit a 4Q-heavy structure, with large project acceptances concentrated in 4Q (February–April). Prior years followed the same pattern for full-year results, with a significant 4Q step-up in revenue and profit as the baseline assumption

Changes To Guidance

No guidance revision was announced at the time of this 3Q earnings release. The current full-year forecast retains the figures revised on December 12, 2025 (revenue JPY 6,400M, operating income JPY 500M).

  • Revision History:
    Original forecast (revenue JPY 6,700M, operating income JPY 800M) → Revised (revenue JPY 6,400M, operating income JPY 500M)
  • Reason For Revision:
    Group-wide reassessment triggered by Vario Secure's full-year earnings revision. Operating income was reduced by JPY 165M for the AIX business and JPY 135M for the AI Security business

Commentary On Shareholder Returns

The dividend forecast for FY04/2026 remains unchanged at JPY 0.00 per share (no dividend). No dividend was paid in the prior fiscal year (FY04/2025) either. No share buyback or other shareholder return initiatives have been announced at this time.

Financial Position

Repayment of long-term borrowings is progressing and interest-bearing debt is on a declining trend, though goodwill of JPY 1.8B from M&A constitutes the majority of intangible fixed assets. The equity ratio remains at a stable 56.3%.

  • Key Figures
  • Leverage Metrics
ItemValueAdditional Information
Cash and DepositsJPY 1,546M−JPY 187M vs. prior FY-end
Deposits (Escrow)JPY 1,417M+JPY 6M vs. prior FY-end
Crypto AssetsJPY 74MNewly recorded (Bitcoin holdings)
Total AssetsJPY 8,105M−JPY 42M vs. prior FY-end
└ Total Current AssetsJPY 4,600M+JPY 61M vs. prior FY-end
└ Total Non-Current AssetsJPY 3,504M−JPY 104M vs. prior FY-end
GoodwillJPY 1,817M−JPY 78M vs. prior FY-end (amortization)
Total Interest-Bearing DebtJPY 1,765M−JPY 289M vs. prior FY-end
└ Short-Term BorrowingsJPY 350M+JPY 150M vs. prior FY-end
└ Current Portion of Long-Term DebtJPY 467M−JPY 15M vs. prior FY-end
└ Long-Term DebtJPY 948M−JPY 422M vs. prior FY-end
Shareholders' EquityJPY 4,562M−JPY 7M vs. prior FY-end
EBITDAJPY 719MOperating income + depreciation + deposit amortization + goodwill amortization + share-based compensation + inventory write-downs

News Released Alongside The Earnings Announcement

  • 2026/03/12
    Launched a joint project with Besterra Co., Ltd. for AI technology implementation, aiming to advance plant demolition operations Notice Regarding Joint Project with Besterra Co., Ltd. for AI Technology Implementation

Major Announcements During The Quarter

  • 2026/02/26
    Entered into a business alliance with JPYC Inc. and subscribed for Series B preferred shares. Aims to build a business foundation in the stablecoin × AI space Notice Regarding Business Alliance and Subscription of Series B Preferred Shares of JPYC Inc.
  • 2026/02/16
    Partnered with The Asahi Shimbun Company to launch "Kishin Chat," a new service that provides natural language commentary on shogi matches using a shogi LLM, now available on their YouTube channel Notice Regarding HEROZ × Asahi Shimbun Kishin Chat YouTube Launch
  • 2026/02/04
    Launched Box integration for HEROZ ASK, strengthening embedding into existing workflow environments. Concurrently announced the introduction of a "Credit Plan" Enterprise Generative AI SaaS "HEROZ ASK" Launches Integration with Cloud Storage "Box"
  • 2026/01/21
    Completed support for the latest image generation model "GPT Image 1.5" within HEROZ ASK, advancing feature expansion of the generative AI SaaS Enterprise Generative AI SaaS "HEROZ ASK" Now Supports Latest Image Generation Model "GPT Image 1.5"
  • 2025/12/19
    Announced plans to support OpenAI's latest model "GPT-5.2" within HEROZ ASK, with a specified availability date Enterprise AI SaaS "HEROZ ASK" to Support Latest Model "GPT-5.2"!

Large-Shareholding Filings / Material Proposals Over The Past Year

None

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