Key Positives From The 2Q Results
Corporate licenses for AI applications grew, lifting license revenue to JPY 1,282M (+35.8% YoY). This growth offset the drop-off from North American mapping projects, keeping revenue flat YoY. The revenue mix is shifting toward the higher-contribution-margin license model. On a standalone 2Q basis, losses narrowed and operating CF turned positive.
- License Revenue Ratio: Rose to 52.2% from 38.5% a year earlier (our estimate). Revenue the company describes as "high contribution margin" now makes up the majority of sales.
- Standalone 2Q Revenue (Jul–Sep): JPY 1,310M, up 32.1% YoY (our estimate) and up 14.2% QoQ.
- Standalone 2Q Operating Loss: Narrowed to -JPY 762M, from -JPY 999M in 1Q and -JPY 946M in 2Q of the prior year (our estimate).
- Operating CF: Swung to +JPY 347M from -JPY 592M a year earlier. Collection of trade receivables (JPY 1,123M) and a JPY 456M increase in contract liabilities drove the improvement.
- Contract Liabilities: Built up to JPY 1,658M (+44.2% vs. prior FY-end), providing a pipeline for future revenue recognition.
Key Concerns From The 2Q Results
Cost of goods sold swelled to JPY 2,876M (+28.3%), pushing 1H to a gross loss of -JPY 419M versus a gross profit of JPY 209M a year earlier. Follow-on projects have not fully replaced the lost North American project revenue. As a result, 1H earnings are running well below the full-year plan, and achieving guidance now depends on revenue recognition in 2H.
- Gross Profit Margin: -17.1% versus 8.5% a year earlier. Higher depreciation of JPY 595M (+35.5%) likely also inflated costs.
- Project Revenue: JPY 1,175M (-22.0%, our estimate). The drop-off following completion of new North American mapping projects persisted.
- Japan Segment: Revenue halved (-49.0%), and the operating loss widened to -JPY 794M from -JPY 464M a year earlier.
- Shareholders' Equity: JPY 5,665M (-21.4% vs. prior FY-end). Losses cut the equity ratio by 9.5pp.
- Adjusted EBITDA Gap: 1H came in at -JPY 1,063M against a full-year plan of JPY 50M. Hitting the target requires a JPY 1,113M improvement in 2H.
Focus Areas / Items To Monitor Going Forward
- 2H Revenue Recognition Pace: The biggest question is whether last year's 4Q profit pattern repeats and enables the adjusted EBITDA breakeven target.
- Sustainability of AI Corporate Licenses: Deals with customers such as a major semiconductor manufacturer may prove one-off or build into recurring revenue. Which way this goes will change the investment case.
- Survey Company Network Build-Out: Watch the earnings contribution from consolidating Rikanos and acquiring the business of Nihonkai Sokuryo Sekkei. Also watch when losses in the Japan business begin to narrow.
- Order backlog supporting positive adjusted EBITDA in 2H
- Contract structure of AI corporate licenses (one-off vs. recurring), customer count, and trends in deal size
- Breakdown of the COGS increase (depreciation, outsourcing costs, upfront investment) and the expected 2H cost level
- Follow-on pipeline for North American project work and order visibility
- Policy on continued survey-company M&A, and approach to funding via cash on hand vs. borrowings
Key Financial Highlights
| Item | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | JPY 2,457M | +0.2% |
| └ License Revenue | JPY 1,282M | +35.8% |
| └ Project Revenue (Our Estimate) | JPY 1,175M | -22.0% |
| Cost of Goods Sold | JPY 2,876M | +28.3% |
| └ Depreciation (CF Statement) | JPY 595M | +35.5% |
| Gross Profit | -JPY 419M | Turned to loss (prior year: JPY 209M) |
| SG&A | JPY 1,342M | -0.7% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | -JPY 1,063M | Wider loss (prior year: -JPY 565M) |
| Operating Income | -JPY 1,761M | Wider loss (prior year: -JPY 1,142M) |
| Recurring Profit | -JPY 1,709M | Wider loss (prior year: -JPY 1,073M) |
| Net Income | -JPY 1,723M | Wider loss (prior year: -JPY 1,163M) |
| EPS | -JPY 72.93 | Prior year: -JPY 49.26 |
- Cost-Driven Loss: Revenue was flat YoY, but costs rose JPY 634M, widening the operating loss by JPY 619M. SG&A was flat, so the cost of sales was the main driver of the wider loss.
- Non-Operating and Extraordinary Items: Non-operating income included JPY 88M in subsidy income (prior year: JPY 126M). Extraordinary items comprised a JPY 20M gain on bargain purchase and a JPY 32M disaster loss related to the Kumamoto earthquake.
Performance By Business Segment
Overseas accounts for 86.5% of revenue (our estimate). Corporate licenses drove revenue growth overseas. Even so, losses widened in both segments due to the drop-off from large prior-year projects.
Segment Performance Table
| Segment | Revenue (External Customers) | YoY | Operating Income | YoY | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | JPY 330M | -49.0% | -JPY 794M | Wider loss (prior year: -JPY 464M) | -240.6% |
| Overseas | JPY 2,126M | +17.9% | -JPY 972M | Wider loss (prior year: -JPY 684M) | -45.7% |
(Margins are our estimates based on external customer revenue. Adjustments: revenue -JPY 84M, profit +JPY 4M)
- Overseas Automotive (Corporate Licenses): Corporate licenses, including deals with a major semiconductor manufacturer, held firm and lifted overseas revenue 17.9%. Demand for high-precision 3D data is growing for AI training, evaluation, and validation.
- Japan Automotive (Mass Production + Corporate Licenses): Corporate license revenue added to mass-production licenses, expanding license revenue in Japan.
- Japan 3D Data and Surveying: Logistics automation projects for private-sector clients progressed. Building a network of survey companies through M&A also expanded the surveying business.
- Overseas Project-Based: New North American mapping work was completed last fiscal year, so revenue fell YoY. The profit contribution from large projects also dropped off, widening the operating loss to -JPY 972M.
- Japan Overall: Revenue fell 49.0% due to the drop-off from large prior-year projects. Expensing of contracted work coincided with upfront investment, widening the operating loss to -JPY 794M.
Progress Versus Full-Year Guidance
1H revenue progress stands at 35.1%, below the 43.1% achieved a year earlier (our estimate). Meeting the full-year plan requires 2H revenue of JPY 4,543M, implying +40.4% growth over the prior-year 2H figure of JPY 3,235M (our estimate). License revenue progress is relatively strong at 42.7%. Adjusted EBITDA, however, must swing from -JPY 1,063M in 1H to JPY 50M for the full year. That requires both booking large projects in 2H and containing costs.
| Item | Value (2Q Cumulative) | Full-Year Forecast | Progress Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | JPY 2,457M | JPY 7,000M | 35.1% |
| License Revenue | JPY 1,282M | JPY 3,000M | 42.7% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | -JPY 1,063M | JPY 50M | - |
Changes To Guidance
Full-year guidance is unchanged. The company maintains its targets of revenue of JPY 7,000M (+23.1%), license revenue of JPY 3,000M (+15.6%), and adjusted EBITDA of JPY 50M. Because the plan assumes a 2H-weighted profile, tracking progress against it will be the key focus going forward.
Commentary On Shareholder Returns
The annual dividend forecast remains JPY 0.00, so the company stays non-dividend paying. No share buybacks were conducted. A capital reduction took effect on August 31, 2026, transferring JPY 96M of share capital to capital reserve.
Financial Position
The company holds cash and deposits of JPY 3,813M against interest-bearing debt of JPY 1,652M, maintaining a net cash position. Continued losses, however, reduced shareholders' equity by JPY 1,539M over the half. Rebuilding the capital base will require progress toward profitability.
Key Figures
| Item | Value | Additional Information |
|---|---|---|
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | JPY 3,783M | +4.9% vs. prior FY-end |
| Shareholders' Equity | JPY 5,665M | -21.4% vs. prior FY-end |
| Interest-Bearing Debt | JPY 1,652M | +9.8% vs. prior FY-end |
| └ Current Portion of Long-Term Borrowings | JPY 228M | Prior FY-end: JPY 725M |
| └ Long-Term Borrowings | JPY 1,424M | Prior FY-end: JPY 780M |
| Net Cash | JPY 2,131M | Cash equivalents − interest-bearing debt (our estimate) |
| Accounts Receivable and Contract Assets | JPY 1,711M | -36.8% vs. prior FY-end |
| Contract Liabilities | JPY 1,658M | +44.2% vs. prior FY-end |
| Software | JPY 3,050M | -9.2% vs. prior FY-end |
| EBITDA | -JPY 1,166M | Operating income + depreciation (our estimate; prior-year period: -JPY 703M) |
- Investing CF: -JPY 320M (prior year: -JPY 882M). Purchases of intangible assets fell to JPY 130M (prior year: JPY 856M), bringing FCF to +JPY 27M (our estimate).
- Financing CF: +JPY 118M. New borrowings of JPY 810M exceeded repayments of JPY 677M, and the debt mix shifted from short-term to long-term.
Leverage Metrics
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29x | Prior FY-end: 0.21x (our estimate) |
| Equity Ratio | 56.7% | Prior FY-end: 66.2% (company disclosure) |
Disclosures Released Alongside The Earnings Announcement
- 2026/11/122Q earnings press release, highlighting progress in the Data for AI business for physical AI
- 2026/11/12Recorded a JPY 32M disaster loss as an extraordinary loss due to damage from the 2026 Kumamoto Earthquake
- 2026/11/12Released 2Q FY3/2027 earnings presentation materials (FY3/2027 2Q Earnings Presentation)
Major Announcements During The Quarter
- 2026/09/09AI-native data became available on the "Voxel51 Dataset Zoo," expanding Data for AI offerings to the research community
- 2026/09/15High-precision 3D map data adopted for the Nissan "Elgrand." Cumulative adoptions reached 39 models across 6 automakers, broadening the mass-production license base
- 2026/10/16Selected for MLIT's "Autonomous Truck Deployment Support Program." Launched trials for receiving autonomous vehicles at logistics facilities and mobility hubs
- 2026/10/27Began exploring a collaboration with Toshiba to enhance an infrastructure-cooperative mobility platform, extending into infrastructure beyond automotive
- 2026/10/28A consolidated subsidiary won a large-scale road data development contract, supporting project revenue build-up from 2H onward
Large-Shareholding Filings / Material Proposals Over The Past Year
- Resona Asset Management: 5.1%→2.8% (2026/09/15) - Held for investment management under investment trusts and discretionary investment contracts
- Nomura Securities: 5.3%→4.2% (2026/04/30) - Held as inventory for securities business and as trust asset investment
- Nomura Securities: New→5.3% (2026/02/13) - Held as inventory for securities business and as trust asset investment
- Mitsubishi Electric: 6.6%→4.9% (2025/12/04) - Strategic investment
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