Nihon Dengi Co., Ltd. Full-Year Earnings Flash

OPM surges to 25.5%; focus on growth runway signaled by JPY 54,001M in orders received for HVAC controls and revamped capital allocation policy

PublishedMay 7, 2026 at 17:45 GMT+9

Key Positives From The Results

Operating income reached JPY 11,821M (+29.6% YoY) with OPM of 25.5% (+4.3pt YoY), marking a significant profitability improvement. While COGS stayed essentially flat (JPY 24,404M → JPY 24,408M), revenue grew +7.7%, driving gross margin up +4.1pt from 43.3% to 47.4%—the primary factor behind the profit surge. Orders received of JPY 54,001M (+23.4% YoY) and carried-forward backlog growth of +28–36% across both HVAC Controls and Industrial Systems underpin growth visibility into the coming fiscal year and beyond.

  • Gross Margin Improved To 47.4% (+4.1pt YoY):
    Revenue growth was achieved with virtually flat COGS, reflecting disciplined order selection and margin improvement initiatives
  • Orders Received Of JPY 54,001M (+23.4% YoY):
    Next-period backlog stands at elevated levels—JPY 29,421M (+28.5% YoY) for HVAC Controls and JPY 4,054M (+36.6% YoY) for Industrial Systems
  • Industrial Systems Segment Income Doubled To JPY 867M (+102.5% YoY):
    Driven by electrical construction work and production management system software
  • Operating Cash Flow Of JPY 11,045M (+35.8% YoY):
    Cash and cash equivalents reached JPY 13,585M (+26.4% YoY), bolstering liquidity
  • Capital Policy Overhaul:
    Medium-to-long-term consolidated ROE target raised to 15%+; shareholder return policy revised to "progressive dividend based on payout ratio of 40%+ or DOE of 7%+"

Key Concerns From The Results

Next-year guidance calls for revenue of JPY 51,500M (+11.1%) but operating income of only JPY 12,500M (+5.7%), implying a deceleration in profit growth relative to the top line. Risks include energy and materials price volatility stemming from Middle East tensions, as well as potential cost increases associated with compliance with the Fair Subcontracting Act (Act on Fair Small and Medium-sized Subcontracting Transactions).

  • Next-Year Operating Income Growth Decelerates To +5.7%
    versus +29.6% this year; OPM guided down from 25.5% to 24.3%
  • HVAC Controls New Construction Revenue Declined To JPY 14,180M (−14.6% YoY):
    A payback after prior-year strength; balance between new and existing project mix warrants monitoring
  • Investing Cash Flow Of −JPY 5,820M (+36.0% YoY Increase In Outflows):
    Includes JPY 2,474M in PP&E acquisition and JPY 4,613M in securities purchases, indicating front-loaded spending
  • SG&A Rose To JPY 10,141M (+6.3% YoY):
    Uptrend in fixed costs including personnel expenses and rent continues
  • Construction Industry Labor Shortages Remain A Sector-Wide Challenge:
    Upward pressure on labor costs poses a risk to future cost ratios

Focus Areas / Items To Monitor Going Forward

  • Breakdown of the assumptions behind the −1.2pt OPM decline in next-year guidance; critical to quantify the impact of Fair Subcontracting Act compliance costs and assess the scope for passing through materials price increases
  • Whether new HVAC Controls construction recovers from the payback dip; need to scrutinize the specific pipeline for data center and factory construction demand, and period-shift risks embedded in the JPY 29,421M backlog
  • Whether the doubling of Industrial Systems segment profit is one-off or structural; progress on recurring revenue from central monitoring systems and the order pipeline for smart factory solutions will be key
Discussion Points For Management
  • Specific cost magnitude of Fair Subcontracting Act compliance embedded in the 24.3% OPM assumption for next fiscal year
  • Quantitative scenarios for how Middle East geopolitical risk affects the order environment and materials procurement
  • Order track record and pipeline scale for data center HVAC controls
  • Timeline for recovery from the new construction payback dip and progress on large-scale projects
  • Medium-term revenue mix target and profit margin sustainability for the Industrial Systems segment
  • Estimated one-time expenses and run-rate cost impact from the headquarters relocation (scheduled for H1 FY2028)
  • Specific KPIs and investment plans for productivity improvement through DX and AI adoption
  • Purpose of land acquisition (JPY 293M → JPY 2,566M) and expected returns on business investment
  • Share buyback policy post-introduction of progressive dividends and total return ratio framework
  • Progress on capacity-building initiatives with subcontractors and group companies, and outsourcing cost control

Key Financial Highlights

ItemValueYoY
Orders ReceivedJPY 54,001M+23.4%
RevenueJPY 46,371M+7.7%
Cost of Goods SoldJPY 24,408M+0.0%
Gross ProfitJPY 21,963M+17.7%
SG&AJPY 10,141M+6.3%
Operating IncomeJPY 11,821M+29.6%
Recurring ProfitJPY 12,126M+30.3%
Net Income Attributable to Owners of Parent CompanyJPY 8,442M+31.6%
EPSJPY 132.49+31.6%
BPSJPY 735.21+18.6%
Gross Profit Margin47.4%+4.1pt
Operating Income Margin25.5%+4.3pt
ROE19.6%+2.3pt
Recurring Profit / Total Assets21.3%+2.5pt
Comprehensive IncomeJPY 9,621M+47.0%

COGS was virtually flat (+JPY 4M) while revenue increased by JPY 3,310M, meaning virtually all of the top-line growth flowed straight through to gross profit. Gross margin improved 4.1pt from 43.3% to 47.4%, confirming structural improvement in the profitability profile.

Performance By Business Segment

SegmentRevenueYoYSegment IncomeYoYMargin
HVAC ControlsJPY 41,697M+5.9%JPY 16,563M+22.3%39.7%
Industrial SystemsJPY 4,674M+26.5%JPY 867M+102.5%18.5%
Adjustments (Corporate Expenses)--−JPY 5,609M--
Consolidated TotalJPY 46,371M+7.7%JPY 11,821M+29.6%25.5%
Strong Performers
  • HVAC Controls – Existing Facility Work: Revenue of JPY 27,516M (+20.9% YoY). Existing facility projects for offices and factories increased. Orders received were also robust at JPY 31,031M (+24.7% YoY)
  • Industrial Systems: Revenue of JPY 4,674M (+26.5% YoY), segment income of JPY 867M (+102.5% YoY). Growth driven by electrical construction work and production management system software; backlog of JPY 4,054M (+36.6% YoY)
Underperformers
  • HVAC Controls – New Construction: Revenue of JPY 14,180M (−14.6% YoY). Payback from factory and educational facility projects. However, orders received rose to JPY 17,199M (+22.8% YoY), suggesting revenue recognition is expected to shift to future periods

Progress Versus Full-Year Guidance

Next-year guidance calls for revenue of JPY 51,500M (+11.1%), operating income of JPY 12,500M (+5.7%), and net income of JPY 8,700M (+3.0%), with orders received of JPY 52,500M. Double-digit revenue growth appears highly probable given the accumulated backlog, but the margin compression baked into guidance suggests a conservative stance toward external environment risks.

ItemCurrent-Year ActualNext-Year Full-Year ForecastYoY Change
Orders ReceivedJPY 54,001MJPY 52,500M−2.8%
RevenueJPY 46,371MJPY 51,500M+11.1%
Operating IncomeJPY 11,821MJPY 12,500M+5.7%
Recurring ProfitJPY 12,126MJPY 12,700M+4.7%
Net IncomeJPY 8,442MJPY 8,700M+3.0%
EPSJPY 132.49JPY 136.51+3.0%
  • The group manages operations on an annual basis and does not disclose semi-annual earnings forecasts. Due to the nature of the construction industry, quarterly results may fluctuate depending on the timing of project completions

Changes To Guidance

No revisions to full-year guidance were disclosed for the current fiscal year. Guidance for next fiscal year (FY ending March 2027) was newly announced.

Commentary On Shareholder Returns

The year-end dividend was raised by JPY 8 from the previous forecast of JPY 91 to JPY 99. The full-year dividend totals JPY 160 (interim JPY 61 + year-end JPY 99), representing a payout ratio of 30.2% and a DOE of 5.9%. On a post-split basis (1:4 stock split effective April 1, 2026), the annualized dividend is JPY 40. Starting next fiscal year, a "progressive dividend based on a payout ratio of 40%+ or DOE of 7%+" will be adopted. Next-year projected dividend is JPY 56 per share on a post-split basis (+JPY 16 increase), implying a 41.0% payout ratio.

Financial Position

The company maintains a virtually debt-free balance sheet, with an equity ratio of 76.7% (+2.0pt). Net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY 8,442M drove retained earnings up to JPY 44,015M, further solidifying the financial foundation.

  • Key Figures
  • Leverage Metrics
ItemValueAdditional Information
Cash and Cash EquivalentsJPY 13,585M+26.4% YoY
Marketable Securities (Current)JPY 9,331M+23.0% YoY
Total AssetsJPY 61,099M+15.5% YoY
└ Total Current AssetsJPY 35,959M+10.0% YoY
└ Total Non-Current AssetsJPY 25,139M+24.4% YoY
Shareholders' Equity (Net Assets)JPY 46,857M+18.6% YoY
Interest-Bearing Debt (Lease Obligations)JPY 482M−11.2% YoY
Investment SecuritiesJPY 17,685M+15.9% YoY
LandJPY 2,566M+JPY 2,273M YoY due to business investment acquisition
EBITDAJPY 12,282MOperating income JPY 11,821M + depreciation JPY 461M

News Released Alongside The Earnings Announcement

  • 2026/05/07
    Medium-to-long-term consolidated ROE target raised to 15%+; shareholder return policy revised to progressive dividend based on payout ratio of 40%+ or DOE of 7%+ Notice Regarding Changes to Basic Capital Policy
  • 2026/05/07
    FY2026/3 year-end dividend increased by JPY 8 from previous forecast of JPY 91 to JPY 99; full-year dividend of JPY 160 Notice Regarding Dividend Increase

Major Announcements During The Quarter

  • 2026/04/27
    Board resolved to relocate headquarters to TORANOGATE in Toranomon, Minato-ku, Tokyo, targeting H1 FY2028. The move aims to advance human capital management and well-being-oriented management Notice Regarding Headquarters Relocation

Large-Shareholding Filings / Material Proposals Over The Past Year

  • FMR LLC: 9.25% → 9.45% (reported 2026/03/23, trigger date 2026/03/13) — For the purpose of managing client assets under trust agreements and contracts
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